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Old Sunday, March 10, 2013
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Farhad Aslam Farhad Aslam is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by silent roar View Post
"What is the solution of Kashmir issue?
No doubt cultural and geographic factors make Kashmir a natural part of Pakistan but previous practices and ignorance have complicated the scenario. Solution of Kashmir issue is not possible in black and white now. Things have changed to a greater extent; Pakistan is not as firm as she used to be in her stance on Kashmir because of its internal situation and a shift of emphasis toward western border. Situation inside occupied Kashmir has also normalized to some extent; after Amarnath shrine board issue no remarkable uprising has been noticed. But this calm situation does not mean Kashmir issue has become numb, current escalation on LOC reflects the perpetual nature of conflict. It demands solution for the sake of normalization between India and Pakistan, for the sake 15 million Kashmiris.
Now what is a feasible solution?
Ideal solution is plebiscite with all 3 options of accession to India and Pakistan plus independence (remember Resolution 47 does not contain third option but it is under chapter VI which is non-binding). But question arises: is plebiscite possible in such a militarily dense land? Obviously plebiscite will require a specific environment under neutral administration most probably provided by UN. So prerequisite for plebiscite is a neutral zone which will be possible only if both India and Pakistan are withdrawn from Kashmir, but Resolution 47 demands Pakistan to withdraw and India to bring its forces to barracks, so again a weakness of UN resolution appears. Another important question will be mode of plebiscite, regional wishes and collective desire will differ, what if people of Jammu decide to join India but majority of Kashmir decides the other way? So, fair and free plebiscite requires new terms and conditions.
Quote:
Originally Posted by silent roar View Post
and what if India refrain from carrying out plebiscite ?Is there any out of box solution to this issue?
In-fact India has been denying the right of plebiscite for last 60 years. India has taken the shelter under resolution of puppet Parliament of Kashmir. So what are we left with?
Though all other options will provide a solution without will of public yet these are feasible. Legitimacy of currently elected assemblies of Indian held Kashmir, AJK and GB is a big hindrance in making these a part of solution, there is no pro-Pakistan or pro-independence leader in JK assembly of Srinagar, and similarly governments at Muzaffarabad and Gilgit do not represent all sections of Kashmiris. Accession to one of India or Pakistan through dialogue seems very difficult call in egoistic political situation of India and Pakistan; neither India would like to lose territory to Pakistan nor would Pakistan do so in favor of India.
Transforming LOC into international border will be an indirect solution as per Indian wishes but it will never be acceptable for Pakistan and Kashmiris.
Making Kashmir an Independent state will be another way out but creating a buffer state sandwiched between two hostile states powered by nuclear arsenal. Can it last for a longer version of time? This will rest upon how India and Pakistan respond to this state.
After considering all options we have to look forward with a rational solution that would be acceptable for all three parties. This goal can be achieved by a long and determined chain of dialogues and actions.
In first phase demilitarization of Kashmir should be done with minimum armies at LOC.
Either a common paramilitary force should be formalized or local police should be enhanced.
UNMOGIP should guarantee peace on LOC
In second phase intra-Kashmir public movement needs to normalize.
In third phase political convergence of Kashmir should be initiated to move towards a unified decision of Kashmir. Kashmiris will form a strong decision making body which will be a legitimate body to represent Kashmiris in tripartite dialogue process.
In fourth phase a grand dialogue process should start to conclude this long lasting issue.
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The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to Farhad Aslam For This Useful Post:
BONA FIDES (Sunday, March 10, 2013), Mubashir Asif (Sunday, March 10, 2013), NimrahKhalid (Saturday, June 20, 2020), Qurratulain Aslam (Sunday, April 28, 2013), silent roar (Monday, March 11, 2013)