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Old Saturday, April 20, 2013
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Delusion of grandeur

Muhammad Daheem


US analysts, under the delusion of grandeur, believe that North Korean missiles can’t reach America. According to CS Monitor “North Korea’s US attack plans are nutty.” US analysts are not taking North Korean threats very seriously. The current escalation is dangerous for the world peace. Anything can happen. North Korea is unpredictable. That makes Pentagon much worried.

Kim Jong-un, Korean leader, met with military aides to discuss “an urgent operation” against America. The question is: can North Korea strike the US with nuclear missiles? What would happen if Kim Jong-un acts on his threats? What would be the consequences of this attack? The words of the general staff “The moment of explosion is approaching fast” are considered to be a serious threat. It seems that Korean leader is sick of “not war not peace” situation. He seems to be serious to finish it; this way or that way. He has a unique style.

As a matter of fact North Korea finds itself in a state of war with South Korea and the United States of America. Pyongyang upholds the idea that it has right to launch a “preemptive nuclear strike on the US.” Its viewpoint is that America is an imperialist successor to Japan. The US forces in South Korea and Japan are “well within range of medium-range North Korean rockets.” It has openly threatened US and South Korea of nuclear attack. Kim Jong-un has already determined the paths of possible missile strikes on the United States of America.

North Korea may be making preparations for a nuclear or missile test to show its strength, in the month of April, to celebrate on the occasion of the birth anniversary of founding leader Kim- il Sung.

The hostility between US and NK has its roots in Cold War days’ politics. Korea closed its doors for the western traders in the mid-19th century.

After the World War II, Korea was divided along the 38th parallel for a temporary period. It could not be unified due to tussle between Russia and the United States of America. It is pertinent to mention here that in 1951 more than 28,000 US forces stayed on the Korean peninsula. In 1963 Soviet Union agreed to help North Korea in developing a peaceful nuclear energy program and training its nuclear scientists while America had several warheads in South Korea.

In 1993 North Korea had enough raw materials for several nuclear weapons from a major nuclear reactor. Negotiations succeeded between US and North Korea in 1994. North Korea agreed to freeze its existing plutonium enrichment program and allowed IAEA to monitor it. Both sides agreed that Korean Peninsula would be nuclear- free zone. In return certain concessions were given to North Korea including heavy fuel oil for a limited period. Soon after, Republicans refused to support the agreement. Congress did not provide sufficient amount of funds. The Americans did not act upon the agreement thoroughly and honestly. Stephen W. Bosworth, KEDO’s first director, later commented: “The agreement Framework was a political orphan within two weeks after its signature”. It is believed that American administration infuriated North Korea at several stages.
In fact, change of government, in North Korea, was the prime objective of the American administration. Sick of American tactics, “North Korea, in May 1998, warned the United States of America that it would restart nuclear research.”

The tension mounted between North Korea and US when Bush categorized North Korea as part of the “Axis of Evil” in 2002. Bush blamed North Korea for developing a uranium enrichment program for nuclear weapons purposes. The US warned North Korea to terminate the program or face the consequences. Later on, KEDO agreed to suspend heavy fuel oil shipments to North Korea in the same year.

“In late 2002 and early 2003, North Korea terminated the freeze on its existing plutonium-based nuclear facilities, expelled IAEA inspectors and removed seals and monitoring equipment, quit the NPT, and resumed reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel to extract plutonium for weapons purposes.” It was, in fact, reaction of American threats and hostile policy towards North Korea. Now North Korea had a great desire to have a deterrent force in the face of U.S. threats.

North Korea agreed to six-party talk in August 2003. It included the United States, North Korea, South Korea, China, Japan, and Russia. Several rounds of talks ended without any positive result.

The United States of America imposed sanctions on Banco Delta Asia in 2005. Pyongyang had many accounts in this bank. It was a big setback for North Korea. It was a serious matter but US refused to resolve the issue. In response to that North Korea staged several missile tests in 2006.

After talks in 2007, America agreed to unfreeze all of the North Korean assets on March 19, 2007. In early June 2008, the United States agreed to start lifting restrictions after North Korea began the disarming process. President Bush announced he would remove North Korea from the list of state sponsors of terrorism. Bush was criticized from within “for settling for too little.” Moreover, North Korea blamed the US for not fulfilling its promises in the disarmament process. It did not supply sufficient food items and medicines etc. to North Korea as promised.

On October 11, 2008, North Korea agreed to resume disarmament of its nuclear programme and the US responded by removing it from the list of terrorist countries. Nonetheless, situation remained tense between the two countries.

The US tightened the grip and UN tightened sanctions and the response of North Korea was equally harsh. At this critical juncture Kim Jong-il ordered the country’s first nuclear test. Relations between North Korea and the United States of America had gone from bad to worse.

The relations between USA and North Korea deteriorated further after the arrest of two American journalists on March 17, 2009. They were sentenced for twelve years of hard labour. The US called it a “sham trial.”

North Korea conducted second nuclear test on May 25,2009. It further deteriorated America-North Korean relations.

On August 4, 2009 former U.S. President Bill Clinton arrived in Pyongyang to secure the release of the two journalists, arrested for their illegal activities. He succeeded in his efforts. The two journalists were released and subsequently returned to Los Angeles with Clinton.

A big event happened. A South Korean warship sank. “On May 24, 2010, the United States set plans to participate in new military exercises with South Korea as a direct military response to the sinking of a South Korean warship by what officials called a North Korean torpedo.”

On May 28, 2010, the official (North) Korean Central News Agency blamed the United States for torpedoing ‘Cheonan’. It blamed Obama for “escalating instability in the Asia-Pacific region.” America, on the other hand, conducted war exercises to terrorize North Korea.

US is demanding denuclearization of North Korea while North Korea is determined to be accepted as a nuclear power. Moreover, North Korea, in an aggressive mood, has announced the reopening of the Yongbyon nuclear complex. This is the latest aggressive move made by North Korea. Nonetheless, there seems to be no possibility of any imminent attack from the north side. Ban Ki-moon has offered his services to resolve the crisis.

North Korea is neither a joke nor a paper tiger. It has the strength to destroy its enemies. It has massive underground fortifications. It can easily deploy its conventional forces for a possible attack against the United States’ forces stationed in South Korea.

America is speeding up deployment of its missile-defense cruisers into the Pacific on Guam. It has already deployed a warship. Many US warships and jets are already present there. The United States of America, no doubt, can destroy North Korea. The important thing is North Korea has the capability to make serious damage to America in nuclear war.
America, in such a case, would no more be a world power but just like any third world country begging alms from all over the world. It would, of course, be a horrible war. Some US allies may be wiped out from the map of the earth. This is what really matters to America.

In case of nuclear war both sides will be annihilated while Japan and America will face serious losses. China my also join war in case its region is polluted by atomic bombing. This may lead to the Third World War.

North Korea has a strong and credible army in case of non-nuclear war. It has 500 combat aircraft. It has potential to destroy its enemies ruthlessly. Its troops are highly motivated, well-trained and well-equipped. Its forces have the capability to destroy Seoul completely. America would not be in a position to save Seoul from massive destruction. Both sides, in fact, are almost equally balanced. If China is affected seriously from the military operation near its border, it would certainly involve itself in war.The potential US allies, just like Britain, would also suffer in this war. China, of course, can play a vital role to lessen the tension between the two countries. The reaction of regional forces would play effective role. Unfortunately America and its allies have double standards. That is the major cause of disturbance all over the world.

A quick and sudden attack on North Korea may be retaliated with the same force by the North causing unbelievable losses in South Korea, Japan and the United States of America. The consequences of war, once started, would not be in control of any particular power as it happened in case of Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan, leaving behind traces of defeat for Americans and finally finding faults with their own false strategy. Americans will have to pay painfully expensive price of war. The aggressive approach of Washington and Pyongyang can lead to the beginning of the Third World War.

Kim Jong-un, the son of Kim Jong-il, took the charge of of the government after the death of his father on 17 December, 2011. The same year he became the Supreme Leader of North Korea.The Korean Leader announced on 29 February 2012 that North Korea will freeze nuclear tests, long-range missile launches, and uranium enrichment at its Yongbyon plant. International nuclear inspectors were also invited to join again to monitor the reactor. The Obama administration responded by offering 240,000 tonnes of food for the people of North Korea.

Later on, frustrated from Americans undue behaviour and unnecessary pressure, undaunted North Korea conducted a successful nuclear test on February 12, 2013. It was in response to US threats, “the sworn enemy of the Korean people.” It shocked and greatly annoyed South Korea, the United States of America and its allies.

America and its allies warned North Korea that it would have to “pay a price” for its actions. The United Nations Security Council imposed new economic sanctions against North Korea.

The young Korean leader threatened a “pre-emptive” nuclear strike against the United States. The next day it voided its non-aggression pact with South Korea.

It is believed that North Korea is developing long range ballistic missiles that could reach the west coast of the US. The United States intelligence community acknowledges that North Korea has the capability to target Hawaii with its current technology. Kim Jong-un, the young leader of North Korea, threatened the United States “declaring that rockets were ready to be fired at American bases in the Pacific.”

It was in response to two B2 stealth bombers’ adventure that “flew over the Korean peninsula on the day before.” For Pentagon it was a real and clear signal of danger. It called “for an advanced missile defense system to the western Pacific on April 3.”

http://www.thefrontierpost.com/category/40/
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