Hi,
I want to ask what are the number of serious candidates left at the end of the exams?
Last year
registered candidates: 24000
appeared candidates: app 9500
I have heard that most people in the appeared candidates category attempt the exam to check the exam pressure or they do not attempt all the papers and the seats become emptier with each day passing.
What do you think what is the number of candidates who attempt all the papers with serious attitude and preparation?
Seniors please provide your analysis as I am collecting the stats to evaluate the success rate of a serious aspirant.

Unfortunately I do not know the answer to your question. Does FPSC declare how many candidates appeared in ALL the exams? I don't think so. There is no other way of finding that out as far as i know.

Im wondering, even if we do know the right number, how does it affect the chances of a serious aspirant?

Let's suppose some numbers.

For the last 4 years,only 2-3% candidates have passed the written test.

Let us say that of the 9000+ candidates that appeared, half were serious. And I assume 300 passed(the original numbers are slightly different). This means the serious aspirant had a 1 in 15(6.7%) chance of passing the exam.

If only a quarter(2250) were serious, you had a 1 in 7.5(13%) chance of passing the exam.

If only 1/8th(1125) were serious, you had a 26% chance of succeeding.

Now if only a 1000 candidates were serious, I would be pretty happy with a 26% chance. But I am guessing the real number of serious candidates lies beyond 4500 and in that case, I don't really care about my chances because they are bleak.

From 9500 appeared candidates, I think there would be 5000 candidates who did not appear in all the papers.
So from the remaining 4500 who appeared in all the papers, there would be who did not have a good prep leaving only 2500 serious candidates.
Well this is to view someone's chances of success if one prepares good for the exam.

Without concrete numbers, we really cannot say anything. Its just speculation.

There is another way to see it. Your chances of passing are independent of other candidates in my opinion. You do not have to take the most marks to pass. You just have to secure the passing marks. There are many people who take more marks and still don't qualify because they failed one subject. So all you have to do is pass each subject. And to pass each subject, you really aren't competing with anyone. Its just you. If on the other hand, the amount of passing candidates was large, say 2000, and then you had to fight for the 200 or so vacancies, it would have been worth to calculate your chances of success. With the current passing rate though, nearly all the people that pass get allocated, so you just have to pass the exam. And in that, the other candidates do not play any role whatsoever.

Without concrete numbers, we really cannot say anything. Its just speculation.

There is another way to see it. Your chances of passing are independent of other candidates in my opinion. You do not have to take the most marks to pass. You just have to secure the passing marks. There are many people who take more marks and still don't qualify because they failed one subject. So all you have to do is pass each subject. And to pass each subject, you really aren't competing with anyone. Its just you. If on the other hand, the amount of passing candidates was large, say 2000, and then you had to fight for the 200 or so vacancies, it would have been worth to calculate your chances of success. With the current passing rate though, nearly all the people that pass get allocated, so you just have to pass the exam. And in that, the other candidates do not play any role whatsoever.

You are absolutely right Norymberskie. It depends on one's own capability and hardwork.
But could you please answer my query,(it might be irrelevant to ask here )
How much of an effect does your domicile really have on your chance on clearing the exam?
Do Punjab domicile holders are at any benefit as compared to other domiciled candidates?
Because nearly 70%of the candidates who passed and get allocated are from Punjab.

I dont know. I have heard it does make a difference. When I was in university I was told having a Punjab domicile is a disadvantage because you are competing with so many people whereas domicile like KPK is valuable because there aren't many candidates and sometimes you have reserved seats.

Its not in my control. I have a Punjab domicile and I have to live with that so I am not interested in finding out what effect it has. I am sure some domiciles get advantage during allocation but I really don't care.

Thanks for your kind response Norymberskie
Have heard the same.
I have observed that in Punjab there is a greater interest and trend in appearing for CSS exams as compared to KPK.
Well,in the end it all comes down to one's hard work and luck.

And what about those who have sindh domicile?

Norymberskie from where are you preparing pair of words? Please share any online source or book.