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Old Friday, September 21, 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hassan02 View Post
India's main export partners are the USA, UAE, Singapore, China and the EU. As I said earlier, global economies are extremely integrated right now and a huge recession in the USA will take down China, South Korea, Japan, Singapore etc with it. In fact, THIS HAS ALREADY HAPPENED. In the wake of 2008 recession, growth slowed in Germany, Japan, China and South Korea (they are all exporters) and thousands of manufacturers were forced to close. If, as YOU say, the American economy collapss (it won't, but lets assume it does), the results will be much much worse. Also, the demand for oil will fall, pushing down the price (same happened in 2008), hurting the Arab countries.
Brother world is going back to Gold Exchange system. So anything associated with dollar is going to suffer. BRICS is making arrangements for the future. Just waiting for that time.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Hassan02 View Post
Maybe you are not familiar with American politics because the Americans have made many tough decisions in the past. Just last year, when Obama needed the support of the Republicans to raise the debt ceiling, the Republicans used this as a bargaining chip to demand that the budget deficit be reduced. Many services (including education) suffered major cuts.

And after that decision Obama got a decline in popularity.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hassan02 View Post
Chinese exports are currently around 1900 trillion while their imports are in the neighborhood of 1700 billion dollars. Pakistan's exports to China are around 2.5 billion and imports are around 7.5 billion which means that trade with Pakistan is negligible to the Chinese. Furthermore, no investor is interested in a country that is being torn apart by terrorism and religious extremism.
after the recession there comes the period of recovery. You are still entangled in the period of recession while i am talking about the recovery period. Investors would find no other place to invest except South Asia. After a decade Pakistan may not be in a turmoil. i am talking about possibilities. As Economics is a science of Uncertainty and Possibilities.
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