Dear friends all of you have raised points which make sense, But to observe this scenario and to ponder on it in a strategic way, that what will be the effects on either Pakistan or India after America leaves afghanistan.
For this we need to observe very keenly from 9/11 after wards. As you know America and many other supper powers have think tanks who are liable to make such strategic plans which will be fruitful for its country in future.
Super powers are supper powers due to their resources, growing economies, Technological advancements and strong armed forces, but to maintain their growth they need a continous supply of resources like (Oil). As we know 20th century by the race for Acquiring Oil resources, the think tanks were aware of the fact that a time will come the world will be scarce in Oil Supply. For this simple reason America has stored all its Oil reserves and is fulfilling its demands from other countries by Imports.
War is all about getting each others resources, and thats all. Or we can say world is a hard place to live in, there is no room for weak. Strongest is the mightest.
From the Day Russia wanted to conquer Afghanistan to get hold of the Warm waters, America has started implimenting its strategies its nefarious conspiricies against Russia to stop it from getting resourse oppertunity, and it succeeded. America announced its self as the next super power and with it started making more evil plans to get hold of other weak nation resources as we know power increases lust for power.
Talking about Afghanistan, many of my friends must be aware of the scandles which arose after 9/11 incident. It was known from various authentic sources that Osama bin Ladin was American trained, its another story either he turned againts America later on as we see or not, the point is what if it was a plan all long of America to get an excuse to place its feet on Asia,central Asia and Middle eastern lands and then start implimenting its nefarious strategies from here. It sounds pretty logical to me and it is so.
When Afghanistan was sent to stone age next in the line was Iraq.
Now, one must think what was the reason? America came to Afghanistan
1) America wanted to engage its self in the repective area's politics, form its strong holds their and start extending its roots all over the sub-continent, which could not be possible sitting far behind the Atlantic ocean.
2) Secondly, Afghanistan produces an ample amount of tobacco, opium and other related products. Internationl community has a greater demant for it, its a large industry and a huge lobby is working for it. America has cash this oppertunity what you can call it as resouse of afghanistan.
As i said earlier this is the WAR of resources and Power, America as the super power will do everything to insure the power stays in its hands. Lets analyse the scenerio a bit. China is the next strong contender for the throne of super power and Pakistan is its Strong ally. Russia on the other hand has no strong friendly relations with america. Pakistan and america are both aware of each others double gaming policy, the trust building is futile.
Here our question arises what will be the effect of America leaving Afghanistan on India. America in the above scenario wanted India and may be still wants it to be its watch dog in the area and work in the direction of fulfilling its interest.
Therefore, for the past many years America and India are working as one to Eliminate all their enemies in the sub-continent with there evil strategies. India has been taking full advantage of the situation for the past many years from america as playing the role of its pet dog, it has struck many deals with america and have been tried to cash its self in every possible manner. Now as america is planning to evacuate Afghanistan in full true or false but if its true america has a lesser need for india and the mayhem India is try to create in Baluchistan will be no longer effective after america out of afghanistan.
America being the only ally of india once out from Afghanistan, is surrounded by not so friendly friends (china, Pakistan), the result, india will be facing many problems as long as it manages to built good relations with Pakistan. As said before America's only friend is its own Interests thats all.