q-3-----
ans] china is supporting iran in zaidi rebillion in yemen and still getting oil from ksa.economic intersts b/w china and ksa are not affected.and both, china and ksa can,t afford to do that.
moreover, in humbatota(sri lanka) both iran and china have joint naval base to bolster the string.
------
hussain mouysvi is a hot cake for anti-iran media of west. and ,still has no chances to counter the revolution of khomeini and ali shiriyati as overwhelming majority supports the islamic revolution. in previous crisis, i was there in iran and personally observed the protest at tehran and only a few hundred protesters were there . but the no was exaggerated by western watch dogs.
ahmadinejad got 11 million votes while mousvi got only 4.3 million votes. so, no chances of green revolution.
still, if any new pro-west regime comes, then the regional tables would be turned.

---------i agree that there is a rift going on b/w ind and china in himaliya and b.desh.

------the regimes in lebanon ,palestine, bherain and iraq are repressive and are coerced by american to ravage the majority.
but, iran never had pro-iran govts. in the above mentioned countries. the strategic depth of iran means the strong militant groups who support iran. and in vintage of war, can jolt a mighty blow at the allied forces.
this strategic power of iran will rise after demise of nato power to patronize pro-west regimes of hariri, shah of behrain and mahmud abbas .
that,s what i meant for rise of persian giant.
-----i know that iran-india axis is very active in southern afghanistan.
and india may access afghans through bandar abbas and assuliyah ports of iran. but, if, america leaves, then the indians may export a few commodities
there but the convoys will have the same future as what happened to nato supplies in pakistan.
and the presence in real sense means the presence of indian counslates
in afghanistan , indian gorkha soldiers and their cantonments ,their contract companies.

if, america departs, then pakistani taliban esp. lashkar e taiba(now active in afghanistan) will never allow counslates to work anymore. since isaf soldiers can,t protect themselves than how 5000 gorkhas would be able to sustain in qandhar and lashkar gah?
and when the indian soldiers are evacuated alongwith 17 counslates then certainly the contract companies(who are already preparing for pack up) will also run.
do you think that iran has the capacity to safeguard 17 indian counslates,5000 soldiers and the contractors from pak-led insurgents(well equipped)?
------i agree that abdullah abdullah and younis qanani are two potential assets of india and iran. but remember if all other big guns of majority pashtuns like hikmat yar, mollah umar and haqqani get united then for how long mr qunoni and abdullah abdullah will be workable?
remember one crystal clear thing . once taliban reach 100 miles near to kabul, all pro northern alliance and pro indian politicians would prefer to get asylum in the west.
------for your kind information, americans are accusing iran for supporting a few sections of taliban.
so, both kinds of insurgents can meet for mutual interests.
---russia will get the guarantee from the possible set up . but frankly speaking, russia is the weakest player of afghan chess board. and may not get any assurances of safe passage.
-----iran will benefit from afghanistan by securing the south of afghanistan
from anti-shi,a elements.
and is already training the afghan shi,a refugees in iran for future designs.
this is the interest of iran in afghanistan.
---if republicans come to power then the war will be continued till the complete downfall of one of the both sides. either america or the local insurgency.
but, the internal pressure of american public is compelling all the political intellingecia to get exit plans implemented as early as possible.
so, watch out what happens!!!!