Quote:
Originally Posted by nisha cute
can someone give any rough idea about what would be the possible implications of US withdrawal on Afghanistan?
According to me, possibility of civil war, taliban emergence would be some of implications. please contribute your rich ideas,
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here are some my personal views .. .those might differ than else
implications will took place on whole region not only Pakistan ... an expected stance from each country is as ....
Pakistan will remain with nexus to us in following issues
o Drone Attacks – Sovereignty of Pakistan?
o Pakistan status after withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan
o Pakistan need trade not aid …. Should be supported by US
o NATO and US Operations in Waziristan as US putting pressure
o Democratic Setup Support to Pakistan US
o Need lessen the Mistrust between two … due to 1. Attack on Osama 2. Salala Attack 3. Nato Issue
o Future of Haqani Network ?????
Other countries .....
India and Afghanistan (india wants)
Prevent Afghanistan from becoming a safe heaven of terrorists
To counter Pakistan’s influence in Afghanistan
Access raw material from Afghanistan for its own need
Ending the use of militant outfits by Pakistan
It will get engaged with the national insurgency in Balochistan
Definitely india will try to reach Gilgit-Biltistan
Iran
Iran needs to decrease in the US forces in Afghanistan
Interest may be to counter the Taliban influcne
Expanding its ecomonic ties with Afghanistan and India
Safe broder with Pakistan
Close ties with Afghanistan for create stable image in Afghanistan.
China
China has its own interest
May be access Afghanistan’s raw materials and provide a soft challenge to India to maintain status quo
Emerge as power to get rid of the US presence
Saudi Arabia (Muslim nation and close ally of US)
Will work to promote itself as a unifier of Sunni community
Avoiding Iran’s influence in Afghanistan’s affairs
Maintain status quo in the ongoing situation to keep the relation with Pakistan as it is.
Russia
Has to work for the maintenance of functional government in
Afghanistan
May create an environment to counter the US’s economic efforts in
Afghanistan.
Avoiding long term presence of US in Afghanistan
comments are welcome....
regards
Sheraz