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  #1  
Old Friday, April 01, 2011
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Default Is the present revolution in Arab world, harbinger of 3rd world war?

I need help about a topic.... this is a topic : Is the present revolution in Arab world, harbinger of 3rd world war? "

i need a complete topic about this
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  #2  
Old Saturday, April 02, 2011
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I dont think so. People in the ME are on the streets to end the long tyrannical rule in some arab countries. They want political changes in their countries. Globalization and the media are adding fuel to this fire which is almost inextinguishable. Suadi king is afraid of the unrest and has announced public reforms on large scale. Similarly, Asad has vowed to bring political changes in Syria.
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Old Saturday, April 02, 2011
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Thanks Mr Aariz thanks alot but can u plz make a complete topic for me about this plzzz????
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Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Originally Posted by Abida kazmi View Post
I need help about a topic.... this is a topic : Is the present revolution in Arab world, harbinger of 3rd world war? "

i need a complete topic about this
There is so far no apparent relation between Arab revolution and 3rd world war but a feeble connection can be sought if 3rd world war refers to Armageddon.

Religious accounts tell that this part of the world would be the main battle field for Armageddon, the last battle between good and evil before the Day of Judgement but that would take place only after the appearance of Yajuj Majuj and fought between armies of a prophet and a false prophet(what if nuclear weapons used in this war??)
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Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Armageddon, the last battle between good and evil before the Day of Judgement but that would take place only after the appearance of Yajuj Majuj )
And what if Yajuj Majuj are already released and here?
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Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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And what if Yajuj Majuj are already released and here?
Then I would like to meet them.
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  #7  
Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Originally Posted by Abida kazmi View Post
I need help about a topic.... this is a topic : Is the present revolution in Arab world, harbinger of 3rd world war? "

i need a complete topic about this
No way, I dont see arab revolts as revolutions in true sense since there is no sign these revolts will bring any ideological, social and political (maybe some political changes will come, but not significant ones) changes in those countries except replace one tyrant with another... As far as Armagedon is concerned, the good has to be a force first , only then it can fight a big war.

An irony in these revolts is that revolutionaries taking part in the revolutions have been appealing the western powers to help them in their motives, which is strange on their part as they want to change their countries with western assistance. Signs of western assistance is evident in situation of Libya, Egypt (western powers' mediatory role in the situation, although there were no direct SOS calls from Egypt because there was no big clash there of scale as in Libya, the thing to note is no one vehemently opposed western mediatory role in the crisis).

Apart from that, there are also no signs of an Islamic bloc emerging from these revolts, which may unfold to a third world war in case such a bloc starts direct confrontation with the western bloc (or any other bloc).

Anyways, the situation is still very murky and hence nothing could be said as of now . But for a third world war with muslim powers participating as belligerents to take place, there are two things which need to be completed. First a major muslim stat (or stats) need to be industrialized at par with western powers so that they can sustain a tiresome large scale war, and second a strong muslim bloc needs be in place. These two conditions require a very long process (particularly the industrialized one) of time to be achieved, therefore there is no possible third world war between forces of good and evil coming any soon . There are possibilities that any rogue leader (or leaders) in the Islamic world may attempt to engage other powers in battle, but it is highly unlikely that such conflict will culminate to the scale of a third world war.
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Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Default In depth Analysis!

Well most of the analysis of this current crisis in the Middle East (Revolution to many) is "easily but not so correctly" related to the tyrannical and oppressive regimes over there. However, in depth analysis is required to fully understand why did this happen in the first place?

We should understand that the oppressive regimes may be one part of the huge jigsaw puzzle but they dont entirely explain the reality on ground. The causes (according to me) lay in the economic structures of all these countries facing this current form of revolution. Ofcourse exceptions, as always, exist over here too.

Lets list down the countries and then an in-depth understanding will follow. Libya, Egypt, Syria, Bahrain, Jordon (to some extent), Tunisia etc etc are basically Rent-Based economies. By rent based economies, we mean that either they depend directly on the rent received through different channels for their natural resources or the industries related to them. For example Petroleum in this case (coupled up with minerals and other fossil fuels) and tourism are used as a rent generating resource.

Now all such economies are faced with a reality. For decades all these states resorted to utilize their natural resources to earn dollars, and these dollars in turn formed the backbone of their economy. This lead to the state where they dont have the manufacturing, production and other tertiary industries.

The situation turns out profiting for a group of people (usually friends, clan members or members of the royalty/dictators) while the rest of the populace lays in slums. The industries (mainly petroleum and other minerals) are highly specialized (training specific) and they cannot be relied upon to provide jobs to the majority of the people between the ages 25 years or younger (as high as 56% of the population in some cases). The situation is aggreviated when the cheap foreign labor is imported to do the menial jobs at these sites. The lack of the economic contributions from the technology and production industries is the main cause. Thus we see that some part of the population is seeing a rise in their foreing currency accounts while the others are jobless. For years the elites of these countries have been doling out food/energy subsidies (coupans in my words) to keep the inflation low and not concentrated on the real productive work (similar to our Benazir Income Support Program). Thus we see that while the population did not face the brunt of food inflation for some time yet their means of earnings never increased. The lack of the real middle class (apart from teh government offcials, who in turn can't make their children's future, resort to corruption and make the matters worse for many nations in these regions) is the main cause. An Economy is sustained by this middle class. The high income per capita in this region is deceiving since a few hands have the majority of the resources of the country..

other reaons are the inappropriate boundary divisioning by the French and the British immediately after WW1, the international/national media and the "The Last Battle: Good V/S Evil" Theory. and yeah media cannot be ignored. For years it served as an instrument telling the media about the grand achievements or miracles of Mubarak and Gaddafi and his likes, but now the international media and social websites like FB have changed the scenario. This showed why till 1999 in Pakistan even, a coup started with the control of RAdio and TV stations. The times are changing and so should our analysis
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Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Then I would like to meet them.


Then you perhaps already have. Look carefully. Just trying to help if ur interested in that topic.
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  #10  
Old Sunday, April 03, 2011
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Then you perhaps already have. Look carefully. Just trying to help if ur interested in that topic.
During cold war era, people said yajuj majuj are communist from russia and china. Now some people say that these are Americans and Israelis. Who knows. I have many reasons to think that it highly unlikely that anything like third world war would take place.
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